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Analysis Fantasy/Gambling Opinion

Fantasy Football: DFS NFL Week 10 Line Up Review

Each week I will take my best or most unique lineup and go into my strategy and thought process behind my player selections.

Each week I will take my best or most unique lineup and go into my strategy and thought process behind my player selections. The goal of this article is to help you make better decisions for yourself when making your lineups. 

Now that week 10 is over it’s time to a do some reflection on what happened before we move onto week 11.

This week wasn’t the most profitable for me. There were multiple upsets, which may have contributed to my lack of success in DFS on Sunday. Who expected the Tennesse Titans to beat the New England Patriots?

Not me.

It’s important to remember that the NFL is unpredictable and volatile, like most professional sports.

Lately, I have played the majority of my bankroll on FanDuel. DraftKings pricing has gotten goofy in the last few weeks, so most of my action has been on FanDuel. In week nine, I had a few nice ROIs on FD, so I played a little more than I usual in week 10.

Let’s just say it didn’t go as planned, but that’s the life of a DFS player, especially one who plays primarily GPPs. Anyway, below is a screenshot of one of my favorite lineups of the week. It wasn’t the highest scoring, but I felt like it was different from the rest of the field.

During my research throughout the week, the total in the Colts-Jaguars game stood out to me. It was nearly 50, yet the game wasn’t getting much fantasy attention. To me, this was a good chance to be contrarian.

As you can tell, I succeeded in doing just that. Andrew Luck was just 3% owned and Leonard Fournette just 6.2%. Stacking games is something I love to do in DFS. Even more so, the mini-stack.

To start, I decided to build my lineup around Luck and Hilton. I brought it back with Fournette for the mini-game stack. From there I locked in players I had liked all week while doing my research.

That started with RB Aaron Jones, who had a monster game against the Dolphins. WR Josh Gordon was also a player that I wanted decent exposure to. He was healthy, coming off a game in which he saw 10 targets, and was going up against Malcolm Butler, who had been struggling.

While I don’t think Gordon was a bad play, his performance, like the rest of the Patriots, was not very good.

Mike Evans was another play I really liked. He was at home, with the best QB on the Bucs getting the start in Ryan Fitzmagic. Evans splits with Fitz and with Winston were a big factor in my decision to plug him into this lineup.

Khalil Mack‘s return made it hard to be comfortable with any defense, besides the Bears. The Lions also gave up 11 sacks in week nine when they played the Vikings. They had another big day on Sunday, forcing turnovers and sacking the QB.

Maybe it’s just me, but I feel like finding a tight end this year in fantasy has been extremely difficult, DFS or season long. Sometimes, I will play not one, but two TEs in my lineups. Again, it’s a way to differentiate from your opponents.

Early in the week, Austin Hooper stuck out to me as a player that I wanted to get into my lineup. Travis Kecle had just torched the Browns in week nine and we know how Greg Williams‘ defenses have faired against TEs over the last two seasons.

Since week seven against the Patriots, Trey Burton hasn’t put up big fantasy numbers. His low ownership and high upside are what made him my favorite TE play of the week. The problem is that the Bears have so many weapons, so it’s difficult to pinpoint how teams will attack them on defense.

On Sunday, the Lions decided to take Burton away. It was WR Allen Robinson who had the monster game instead. Burton is someone I will go back to a few more times though. His ownership should continue to be on the lower side.

Follow Nick on Twitter and Instagram.

Image: USA Today 

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Nick is a recent graduate of Northern Illinois University and passionate about everything Chicago sports (except the Cubs). He has run his own website, been featured on Bleacher Report, and tried to sell his soul on eBay (which he hasn’t gotten back). He hopes to one day see his beloved Bears win the Super Bowl and is still trying to figure out why Jay Cutler gets so much hate.

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